MOVES GLOSSARY

TPRR - Targets Per Route Run

WOPR - (Weighted Opportunity Rating) - Calculated by combining a pass-catcher’s air yards share and target share. A metric created by Josh Hermsmeyer.

PFF Grade - (Pro Football Focus Grade) - A play-by-play evaluation metric that quantifies how well the player performed individually on each snap, independent of team results or box score stats.

Rostership % - Percentage of Yahoo leagues player is rostered in.

Recommended FAAB - FAAB range recommendation based on FAABLab, which is an awesome crowd-sourced FAAB estimation tool.

WIDE RECEIVERS

WIDE RECEIVERS
➕ Add Jayden Higgins (17% rostered)

Higgins has earned 7 targets in each of his last two games, converting his Week 10 looks into a 4-55 stat line. The Texans are targeting the rookie at all areas of the field, and he came up just short of a score against the Titans, getting tackled at the one-yard line.

Higgins is settling in as Houston’s WR2, trailing only Nico Collins (27.9%) in target share over the past two weeks (16.3%), per FantasyPoints. Boosting the wideout’s outlook is that Houston ranks 5th in the league in Dropback Rate Over Expected (+3%), per FantasyLife.

Recommended FAAB: 8-12%

WIDE RECEIVERS
➕ Add Christian Watson (35% rostered)

While Watson is averaging just a 12.5% target share this season, he possesses big-play ability and has emerged as a trusted weapon in the Packers’ offense, logging the highest route share among Green Bay’s pass-catchers in each of the last two weeks, per FantasyPoints.

He’s a pretty boom-bust option for fantasy, but has plenty of upside down the stretch given the Packers have the best fantasy playoff schedule for wide receivers by adjusted fantasy points allowed, per JJ Zachariason.

Recommended FAAB: 16-23%

WIDE RECEIVERS
➕ Add Luther Burden (8% rostered)

Week 11 PFF Grade: 60.6 (50th among 76 qualifying wide receivers)

At long last, the rookie has overtaken Olamide Zaccheaus as Chicago’s WR3, running a route on a season-high 61.1% of dropbacks, per FantasyPoints. Zaccheaus, on the other hand, logged a season-low 13.9% route share, indicating a changing of the guard in the Bears’ offense.

Burden dropped what would’ve been a nice chunk play on a post route, and his increased snaps only resulted in 5.7 fantasy points, but there’s a lot to be excited about with the 39th overall pick.

Recommended FAAB: 8-12%

WIDE RECEIVERS
➕ Add Darnell Mooney (32% rostered)

Week 11 PFF Grade: 48.1 (71st among 76 qualifying wide receivers)

Mooney has yet to eclipse 9.8 fantasy points in a game this season, but he’ll need to step up as Atlanta’s WR1 in the absence of Drake London, who is week-to-week with a sprained PCL.

With Kirk Cousins at the helm, this offense could struggle to get going, and they face the worst schedule for fantasy wide receivers over the next month, according to RotoViz. The odds are stacked against Mooney producing in a big way for fantasy, but the volume should be there for as long as London remains out.

Recommended FAAB: 10-19%

WIDE RECEIVERS
➕ Add Adonai Mitchell (2% rostered)

Week 11 PFF Grade: 40.5 (76th among 76 qualifying wide receivers)

Mitchell was credited with a position-leading 3 drops in his TNF Jets debut in Week 11, leading to just 2.0 fantasy points and a dead-last finish in PFF Grade on the week. However, with Garrett Wilson on IR with a knee injury, Mitchell received WR1 usage, leading the team in target share (22.2%) and air yards share (53.3% - 7th highest among all WRs this week).

Tyrod Taylor was just named the Jets’ starter for Week 12 against Baltimore, the 5th-best matchup for wide receivers by adjusted fantasy points allowed, per JJ Zachariason. In Tyrod’s lone full start this season (Week 3), the Jets ranked 3rd in Dropback Rate Over Expected (+11%), logging their 2nd-highest Pass Rate Over Expectation on the season (+5.5%), per FantasyPoints.

Recommended FAAB: 3-5%

RUNNING BACKS

RUNNING BACKS
➕ Add Bhayshul Tuten (30% rostered)

Before leaving the game early in the 4th quarter, Bhayshul Tuten had out-carried Travis Etienne 15 to 12, converting his attempts into 74 yards and a touchdown. His rush attempts, rushing yards, and snap share (31.9%) were all season-highs, indicating an effort by the coaching staff to get the rookie involved.

Tuten looked awesome, forcing 5 missed tackles, good for 3rd-most at the position on the week, per PFF. Talking to the media on Monday, HC Liam Coen noted, per The Coachspeak Index:

“Tute has been practicing better and better, and as much as we can continue to get him involved, the better our offense is.”

When questioned about the severity of his ankle injury, Tuten told media that he’s “good”, making the explosive rookie an absolute must-add this week.

Recommended FAAB: 18-26%

RUNNING BACKS
➕ Add Emanuel Wilson (10% rostered)

Josh Jacobs is battling a knee contusion, and while he is not a candidate for Injured Reserve, HC Matt Lafleur said Jacobs could “potentially” play in Week 12. If Jacobs is unable to go, Emanuel Wilson, who logged an 11-40-1 stat line in Week 11, is the next man up.

Recommended FAAB: 29-43%

RUNNING BACKS
➕ Add Kenneth Gainwell (34% rostered)

Jaylen Warren tweaked his ankle in the 3rd quarter of Week 11, resulting in a 29.5-fantasy point performance from Kenneth Gainwell, who caught 7 passes for 81 yards and 2 touchdowns out of the backfield.

HC Mike Tomlin noted that Warren was cleared and willing to return in Week 11, and that he’s “optimistic” regarding Warren’s Week 12 status, per The Coachspeak Index.

Regardless, Gainwell is worth adding given his proven ability as a pass-catcher, as his Week 11 performance could earn him a bigger role independent of Warren’s status.

Recommended FAAB: 16-23%

RUNNING BACKS
➕ Add Sean Tucker (28% rostered)

Sean Tucker was incredible in Week 11, trailing only Christian McCaffrey in fantasy points at the position (34.0). However, Bucky Irving’s return could come as soon as this week, and Rachaad White (58.8% snap share in Week 11) is still a factor.

Ben Gretch reminds us in his “Stealing Signals” newsletter that in 2024, Tucker “had a 196-yard game and got basically no work the next week”.

While Tucker is certainly a talented player and is worth adding as a result, his outlook in Tampa Bay’s backfield committee is murky.

Recommended FAAB: 17-25%

RUNNING BACKS
➕ Add Chris Rodriguez (12% rostered)

In Week 11, Chris Rodriguez led the Commanders’ backfield in snap share (45.3%), rush attempt share (45.5%), and route share (25.0%), per FantasyPoints.

While this backfield likely remains a messy committee with Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Jeremy McNichols continuing to be involved, Rodriguez is worth a speculative bench stash heading into the bye, as the Commanders have the 3rd-best playoff schedule for fantasy running backs, per RotoViz.

Recommended FAAB: 8-16%

RUNNING BACKS
➕ Add Bam Knight (18% rostered)

Emari Demercado is reportedly dealing with a high-ankle sprain and is “unlikely” to play in Week 12.

Assuming Trey Benson remains out, that leaves Knight (35.7% rush attempt share in Week 11) and Michael Carter (14.3%) to carry the load against Jacksonville, the 8th-worst matchup for running backs by adjusted fantasy points allowed, per JJ Zachariason.

It’s not an inspiring add, but Knight has short-term viability if you are in desperate need of a running back spot start.

Recommended FAAB: 8-12%

RUNNING BACKS
🔁 Buy Aaron Jones

In Week 11, Jones logged season-highs in rush attempt share (72.7%, 6th-highest at the position) and target share (15.6%, 7th-highest), per FantasyPoints. While Jordan Mason vultured a touchdown, he played on a season-low 16.7% of snaps after posting a then-season-low of 23.0% in Week 10, indicating that Minnesota is phasing out Mason in favor of Jones.

Jones logged just 11.1 fantasy points on the week, however, presenting a nice buying opportunity while morale around “Nine” and the Vikings could not be lower.

If this usage trend continues in favor of Aaron Jones, there’s a lot of upside here - the Vikings have the best fantasy playoff schedule for running backs by adjusted fantasy points allowed, per JJ Zachariason.

RUNNING BACKS
🔁 Buy RJ Harvey

Week 11 PFF Grade: 55.5 (40th among 48 qualifying running backs)

On the surface, Harvey had a ho-hum 8.0 fantasy point performance in Week 11, in line with what he’s been giving fantasy managers for most of the season.

However, Harvey was going up against the Chiefs, the 5th-worst matchup for fantasy running backs, per RotoViz. More notably, with JK Dobbins out for the remainder of the fantasy season, Harvey logged season-highs in both snap share (60.7%) and rush attempt share (52.4%), per FantasyPoints.

The rookie heads into Denver’s bye week as the clear lead back in Sean Payton’s offense, with potential for a post-bye usage bump in Week 13. I’d be buying off his underwhelming performance and hoping for a bye week discount from a leaguemate needing immediate production.

TIGHT ENDS

TIGHT ENDS
➕ Add AJ Barner (9% rostered)

Week 11 PFF Receiving Grade: 71.1 (10th among 47 qualifying tight ends)

In Week 11, Barner finished 2nd on the team with a season-high 22.7% target share, per FantasyPoints. His 82.2% route share was also a season-high, while Elijah Arroyo logged his lowest route share (31.1%) since Week 3.

If Barner is able to consolidate the tight end work in Seattle, his role could be fruitful for fantasy, as the Seahawks have the 3rd-best rest-of-season schedule for tight ends by adjusted fantasy points allowed, per JJ Zachariason.

Recommended FAAB: 5-7%

FAAB CHEATSHEET

WIDE RECEIVERS

• Jayden Higgins (17% rostered): 8–12% FAAB

• Christian Watson (35% rostered): 16–23% FAAB

• Luther Burden (8% rostered): 8–12% FAAB

• Darnell Mooney (32% rostered): 10–19% FAAB

• Adonai Mitchell (2% rostered): 3–5% FAAB

RUNNING BACKS

• Bhayshul Tuten (30% rostered): 18–26% FAAB

• Emanuel Wilson (10% rostered): 29–43% FAAB

• Kenneth Gainwell (34% rostered): 16–23% FAAB

• Sean Tucker (28% rostered): 17–25% FAAB

• Chris Rodriguez (12% rostered): 8–16% FAAB

• Bam Knight (18% rostered): 8–12% FAAB

TIGHT ENDS

• AJ Barner (9% rostered): 5–7% FAAB