MOVES GLOSSARY

Hey, Movers!

We have a handful of interesting running backs available on the waiver wire this week, but TE Kenyon Sadiq is the player I’m most excited about.

As always, here are some of the terms you need to know for today’s writeup:

TPRR - Targets Per Route Run

WOPR - (Weighted Opportunity Rating) - Calculated by combining a pass-catcher’s air yards share and target share. A metric created by Josh Hermsmeyer.

Rostership % - Percentage of Yahoo leagues player is rostered in. I write about players rostered in 40% or fewer of Yahoo leagues, AKA guys who are widely available.

Recommended FAAB - FAAB range recommendation based on FAABLab, which is an awesome crowd-sourced FAAB estimation tool. This is just a starting point - you’ll need to tweak your FAAB bids based on roster needs and leaguemate tendencies.

Note: I went back and watched every play for each player I wrote about below. While I’m a data nerd at heart, I’ve found that watching the film allows me to pick up on certain sequences, momentum, and honestly, vibes, that the data can’t capture. This helps to provide a complete picture of a player’s performance rather than simply leaning on box score or even advanced stats alone.

All data in this post comes from FantasyPoints Data unless otherwise noted.

WIDE RECEIVERS

WIDE RECEIVERS
Add Kalif Raymond (10% rostered)

As we all expected, Raymond has led the Bears’ pass-catchers in fantasy points in each of the first three weeks of the season. On Monday Night Football, he turned 7 targets into 6 catches for 90 yards and a TD, with his 21 fantasy points just a half-point away from setting a new career-high, per NFL Pro.

While I don’t know how long this is going to last as I remain bullish on Odunze and Loveland playing larger roles moving forward, we can’t ignore Raymond’s production through three weeks. Ben Johnson clearly trusts him in this role, as do Caleb Williams and Case Keenum.

Among all WRs with at least 20 routes run, Raymond is tied for 10th in 1st downs per route run (0.14) with Drake London, Ladd McConkey, and Stefon Diggs, and is 12th in yards per route run (2.93), according to TruMedia.

Recommended FAAB: 6-8%

WIDE RECEIVERS
Add Keenan Allen (22% rostered)

Alec Pierce will be out 4-6 weeks, possibly more, with his heel injury, opening the door for Keenan Allen to see more looks.

While I’m not super excited about Allen’s upside, he put up a nice 9-6-63-1 performance in Week 3 and offers a viable floor for fantasy if you need WR help for as long as Pierce is out.

Recommended FAAB: 4-8%

WIDE RECEIVERS
Add Chris Bell (4% rostered)

Bell ran a route on a season-high 59.5% of Miami’s dropbacks in Week 3, posting a 4-67 stat line on 7 targets.

His increasing route share is bullish given Bell is coming off a torn ACL during his final college season. That injury is what led to him falling to the 3rd round, whereas pre-injury he was seen by some as a potential 1st round pick.

Bell is 6’2, 222, and looks the part of an alpha receiver out there. He had a sweet chunk play that went for 44 yards on a crossing route in the 2nd quarter, and later had a nice contested grab for a 3rd-down conversion.

While this offense isn’t great and Malik Washington hogs a lot of the low aDOT work, I think there’s still upside for Bell to emerge and potentially consolidate work. Plus, there’s still big play potential here as Malik Willis loves to chuck it deep - he ranks 3rd in air yards per passing attempt, according to TruMedia.

Recommended FAAB: 3-5%

WIDE RECEIVERS
Add Tre Harris (4% rostered)

Honestly, I still don’t know how good Tre Harris is at the NFL level. Or even how good this Chargers offense is.

But I do know that I don’t think Quentin Johnston is very good. You could feel the collective groan of Chargers fans everywhere when QJ flat-out dropped what would have been an absolutely critical 3rd down conversion in the 4th quarter of their loss to the Bills. I wonder if we see 2nd-year WR Tre Harris earn more work as the season goes along.

Harris turned in a nice 6-76 performance in Week 3, leading the team with 7 targets. That was actually his career high in targets, receptions, and yards, and I think the Chargers could start leaning into Harris more while scaling back Johnston’s opportunities.

Recommended FAAB: 3-5%

RUNNING BACKS

RUNNING BACKS
Add Ollie Gordon II (5% rostered) and Jaylen Wright (2% rostered)

Gordon and teammate Jaylen Wright will be the most talked about adds this week with De’Von Achane out for the season with a torn ACL.

Wright missed Week 2 due to a foot injury/stinger and is considered day-to-day.

Gordon handled the workload in Week 3 after Achane went down, and I thought he looked pretty powerful on his carries. He doesn’t seem to have a ton of wiggle or a special ability to make guys miss, but he showed some really nice strength on a pair of back to back carries in the 1st quarter, the latter of which went for a 3 yard score.

Gordon also had a sweet grab on an angle route for a nice conversion on 3rd and 10 in the 3rd quarter. After the catch, Gordon carried a defender for additional YAC and turned that play into a 19 yard gain.

His 14.5 fantasy points were a career-high and were actually more than Achane has had since Week 16 of last season, per NFL Pro. Take that with a huge grain of salt, however - Gordon is of course nowhere near the talent Achane is.

The problem here is that with Wright day-to-day, it seems like there’s a good chance he could be back this week. And even looking ahead to the rest-of-season outlook for this backfield, it’s likely going to be some sort of split workload between Wright and Gordon.

And on this offense, it’s hard to see either back emerging as a reliable producer for fantasy. Even Achane, who is the far superior talent and consolidated the backfield work, wasn’t able to get much going through two weeks.

After all, not only is this offense pretty underwhelming overall, their line isn’t creating much in the way of running lanes - Miami’s 1.49 yards before contact per attempt is the 5th-lowest mark in the league.

Bottom line is that with Achane out for the season, these guys are going to see increased opportunities for the rest of the year, and I get it if you want to take a shot on that. My gut tells me Gordon would be the priority target, but I’m not really bullish on either of these guys becoming consistent or reliable fantasy starters given the workload split on a mid offense.

Recommended FAAB for Gordon II: 16-30%

Recommended FAAB for Wright: 7-13%

RUNNING BACKS
Add Braelon Allen (20% rostered)

Breece Hall is week to week with a quad injury, and based on some of the fantasy football docs out there, this could be a 2-3 week-ish injury, at least.

Enter Allen, who slots in as the lead back here, on an offense that has actually been pretty fun in 2026. There hasn’t been a ton of room for their RBs, as their line has created the 9th-fewest yards before contact per attempt (1.60), but I’m honestly pretty excited to see how Allen can fare for fantasy with increased looks.

While he’s obviously not the receiver that Breece Hall is (few backs are), Allen is competent as a pass-catcher, and showed nice hands securing the catch on a 7-yard out route with just over a minute left against the Lions.

According to RotoViz, the Jets have the 4th-easiest schedule for fantasy RBs over the next 3 weeks, so Allen is in a good spot to produce while Breece is out. If you need a short-term band-aid for your starting lineup rather than the potential upside of a long-term starter, I like prioritizing Hall over Gordon and Wright.

Recommended FAAB: 11-20 %

RUNNING BACKS
Add Kendre Miller (1% rostered)

Travis Etienne will miss time with a hamstring injury, and some of the fantasy football doctors out there believe he will likely be out a few weeks and potentially longer.

In the meantime, Alvin Kamara (his rostership was over 40% so I’m not covering him here, but he’s worth an add) and Kendre Miller will split the backfield work.

This is a worse version of the Braelon Allen band-aid add as Miller will be splitting work and the Saints have the hardest fantasy schedule for RBs over the next month, per RotoViz.

However, I do believe he’s worth an add for teams desperate for a running back with some sort of projectable volume over the next month or so.

Recommended FAAB: 4-8%

RUNNING BACKS
Add Keaton Mitchell (32% rostered)

In Week 3, Omarion Hampton logged a season-low 62.5% designed carry share, while Keaton Mitchell posted a season-high 33.3%, per TruMedia.

Additionally, Mitchell scored on a jet pass from the 1 yard line, showing awesome agility by avoiding a tackle for loss and then fighting through to the right side of the end zone. I thought it was bullish that he was out there at the 1 yard line when Hampton profiles as the bigger, more powerful back of the two.

When you watch the Chargers’ offense, you just get the feeling that Mitchell is a more natural fit in Mike McDaniel’s scheme, and that his runs are more effective than Hampton’s.

And the data supports it. Through 3 games, here’s how things look:

Rush Yards Over Expected Per Attempt:

• Mitchell: 0.54

• Hampton: -0.50

Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt:

• Mitchell: 0.35

• Hampton: 0.14

Explosive Run Rate:

• Mitchell: 18.8%

• Hampton: 8.9%

Yards After Contact Per Attempt:

• Mitchell: 2.65

• Hampton: 2.58

Interestingly enough, in Week 3, Mitchell forced eight missed tackles on 11 touches for an insane 72.7% missed tackle forced rate, the 2nd-highest rate by a Charger with at least 10 touches in a game in the Next Gen Stats era (since 2016), per NFL Pro.

It makes sense given speedy backs like Mitchell have seemed to thrive in McDaniel’s scheme, going back to Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane. McDaniel loves these guys - he even printed out a “WANTED” poster for Keaton Mitchell and put it on GM Joe Hortiz before they signed Mitchell in free agency.

Given how the two backs have looked through 3 weeks, it’s at least possible that Mitchell continues to eat into Hampton’s workload and carves out a fantasy-relevant role for himself.

Recommended FAAB: 4-7%

TIGHT ENDS

TIGHT ENDS
Add Kenyon Sadiq (19% rostered)

Kenyon Sadiq is a freaking beast. If you subscribe to Moves, you stashed Sadiq for free or close to it after I wrote about him following Week 1 and again post Week 2.

Now, following his 8-7-105-1 Week 3 performance, you’ll need to spend some FAAB to get him, but rightfully so. This guy is unreal. His TD grab in the 2nd quarter was one of the most athletic catches I’ve seen in a while, and through 3 games he’s absolutely living up to his Relative Athletic Score of 9.62/10, 57th among 1,472 TEs all time.

Per Next Gen Stats, Sadiq’s 4.2 yards per route run this week were the highest in a game from a TE (min. 25 routes) this year and the most by a Jet since Davante Adams' 5.5 in Week 15 of 2024.

Sadiq dropped a potential chunk play near the end of the 1st quarter, one that I think he normally comes down with, so there was even some meat on the bone in his breakout performance.

Fellow TE Mason Taylor missed this game with a thumb injury and is week-to-week, but you can’t put the toothpaste back in the tube once it’s out. I think the 16th overall pick is going to build on his breakout and have the chance to produce in a big way for fantasy on what has been a productive Jets offense with solid QB play from Geno in 2026.

Recommended FAAB: 8-16% is base range, but this feels low to me. I’d be spending up to make sure I get Sadiq if I need TE help.